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Our investment experts offer economic and financial insights
to balance today's market environment with long-term considerations.

2024 ELECTION

How presidential policy proposals may shape markets and the economy

As we inch closer to election day, we assess the candidates’ policy pronouncements, focusing on those most impactful for the economy and markets: taxes and fiscal policy, regulation, and trade.

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U.S. deficit

It gets worse before it gets better

The federal government ran a fiscal deficit in all but five of the last 62 years, with frequent episodes of investor concern and political rancor over the sustainability of fiscal policy. Despite projections of fiscal peril, and thanks to greater demand for Treasuries, the U.S. has avoided a government debt crisis—so far.

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MARKET VOLATILITY

Soft landing or crash landing? Assessing the recession trade

Are we headed for a near-term recession, or are markets overreacting?

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2024 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

Mid-year outlook

With a favorable trajectory for inflation and expectations for a slower growth economy, we explore the factors and conditions likely to influence the economic landscape in the second half of the year.

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OVERSEAS OPPORTUNITIES

Spotlights on China, Europe, Japan and India

Global equities ended 2023 on a high note, but as we look ahead to 2024, we consider the “investability” of three overseas regions that are commanding headlines.

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